Infectious Disease Forecasting and Scenario Modeling

Operational involvement in the COVID-19 pandemic response and disease predictions

• 2022 – present, Contributor to the US CDC FluSight Forecasting Collaboration . Submitted weekly short-term forecasts of influenza hospitalizations during the 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, and 2025-26 seasons.
• 2022 – present, Contributor to the US Influenza Scenario Modeling Hub . Submitted long-term scenario projections of influenza hospitalizations during the 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, and 2025-26 seasons.
• 2023 – 2025, Dashboard of SARS-CoV-2 variant forecasts for Washington and other US states , hosted by the Seattle Flu Study (In collaboration with the Nextstrain team)
• 2020 – 2022, Developed the analysis and provided technical support to South Africa’s National Institute for Communicable Diseases for their COVID-19 Private Consultations Excess Respiratory Encounters Reports . Reports tracked excess respiratory encounters at hospitals, emergency departments, and primary care providers across different age groups and provinces. Reports were updated from September 2020 to April 2022.
• 2019 – 2022, Contributor to the US Department of Defense COVID + ILI Forecasting Collaboration. Submitted weekly short-term forecasts of influenza-like illness and COVID-like illness cases on US military bases during the 2019-20, 2020-21, and 2021-22 seasons.